Stocks closed modestly higher as the economic data suggested a mixed environment. A regional manufacturing survey posted a weak headline number but the details were much stronger. Weekly jobless claims were greater than the consensus view but the CPI and the Index of Leading Economic Indicators met expectations. Also on a positive note Spain successfully completed a 10-year auction.
To suggest the obvious all are extremely nervous, not sure if the intense volatility is the lack of conviction about tomorrow or the result of algorithmic trading. As per CNBC black box trading now accounts for about 80% of total volume. Wow!
Reflecting upon the oil spill, I wonder how historians will view the actions of the Administration. Will the entire spill only be worthy of a page in a history book or will it be regarded as an inflection point in this multipolar interdependent interconnected world?
What will happen today? Stocks yesterday remained above the pivotal 200-day moving average for the third consecutive day after sinking below it for about a month. As noted above this level is of increased significance given the massive influence of quantitative trading.
Last night the foreign markets were mixed. London was up 0.15%, Paris down 0.22% and Frankfurt down 0.02%. Japan was down 0.04% and Hang Sang up 0.74%.
The Dow should open quiet. The 10-year is off 3/32 to yield 3.29%.
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