May’s unemployment data is released at 8:30. How will the statistics be interpreted? The markets have discounted two interest rate reductions by year end. Both Goldman and Morgan Stanley states that such will not occur opining at most only ...
According to a survey taken by JP Morgan the greatest risk to quantitative strategies is not a sharp increase in rates or poor economic data but rather a collapse in liquidity. According to the Bank, “people know this is happening, it is not...
As widely known, the Dow is down for six consecutive weeks. Will this week be the seventh? Bespoke Investment Group states that since 1900 there have only been seven 7-week losing streaks and just one ...
Long dated Treasury yields are falling at a faster pace than in the beginning of the 2008 financial crisis. Bloomberg writes the 10 year Treasury is near the most overbought territory since 1998. The last two time Treasuries were so overbought was ...
Growth has slowed in the EU and China but increased unexpectedly in the US during the first quarter to a 3.2% rate. Today is the first revision of economy’s first quarter performance and analysts are expecting a ...
The bond market is suggesting the economy will slow considerably. Consumer confidence however rose more than expected to the highest level since November as Americans felt the best about ...
A narrative is beginning to rise that the “disruptor economy” is now being disrupted by such arcane parameters of revenues, earnings (ok losses), debt service coverage and possible regulation. For at least five years such historical parameters were ...
Is the circus in Washington beginning to weigh on the markets? To date Washington has been viewed nothing other than a freak show, a made for reality TV and cable show. Has all crossed over the proverbial lines? Perhaps the only concrete statement to make...
Change is the only certainty. Can I argue there will be another reinvention of basic economic assumptions? There was a change in general economic consensus thought following the Great Depression and again during the ...
Equities where whipsawed on trade. I rhetorically ask is MAD (Mutual Assured Destruction) a cornerstone of trade as it was for foreign policy? Since around 1980 there was a symbiotic relationship between the US and China. China would produce cheap goods, sell them to the US...