Market Commentary

Daily reports from our Chief Economic Strategist.

Many Times I Have Commented About the Lack of Monetary Velocity or the Turnover of Money and Its Impact Upon the Economy.
Many times I have commented about the lack of monetary velocity or the turnover of money and its impact upon the economy.  The St. Louis Fed recently published a report quantifying the impact of this lack of velocity.
Equities Led by the Energy Sector Traded Nominally Lower Yesterday on Profit Taking.
Equities led by the energy sector traded nominally lower yesterday on profit taking.  Treasuries declined significantly as prices have perhaps massively overshot “fully valued” given the economic and inflation environment.  In my view both markets have been inflated because of the massive amount of cash in the financial system, the result of global central bank monetary policy.
Will Geo Political Issues Ever Impact the Markets?
Will geo political issues ever impact the markets?  Perhaps the correct answer is when these issues start impacting economic activity.
Yesterday Was a Sleepy Day.
Yesterday was a sleepy day.  Today may bring more of the same given the already thinned trading ranks will become even smaller as  this is the eve of a three day weekend, the last hurrah of the summer.
Tags: cash, GDP, markets
There is Little I Can Write About Yesterday’s Market Action.
There is little I can write about yesterday’s market action.  A report showed there was the biggest ever jump in durable goods orders and consumer confidence unexpectedly increased.
Many Are Surprised at the Unrelenting Equity Advance.
Many are surprised at the unrelenting equity advance.  Three weeks ago all were pontificating the much needed “correction” was at hand.   After a 4% decline, some declared a correction had occurred and the rally can now continue.  I remarked if this was indeed “a correction,” this was the shortest and most painless correction I have yet experienced.
The Much Hyped Speech of FRB Chair Yellen has Come and Gone With Little Impact.
The much hyped speech of FRB Chair Yellen has come and gone with little impact.  Yellen’s remarks were similar to that of the July FOMC Minutes which showed the Committee growing more aware that labor markets are approaching full employment albeit  the “underutilization of labor resources still remains significant.”
The Much Hyped Speech of FRB Chair Yellen has Come and Gone with Little Impact.
The much hyped speech of FRB Chair Yellen has come and gone with little impact.  Yellen’s remarks were similar to that of the July FOMC Minutes which showed the Committee growing more aware that labor markets are approaching full employment albeit  the “underutilization of labor resources still remains significant.”
Some are Interpreting the FOMC Minutes as Hawkish.
Some are interpreting the FOMC Minutes as hawkish.  The Minutes unexpectedly stated the Committee is closer to agreement on an exit strategy from aggressive stimulus, raising the possibility that it might increase rates sooner than anticipated.
Has an Improving Job Market and Cheaper Borrowing Costs Revived the Residential Real Estate Market?
Has an improving job market and cheaper borrowing costs revived the residential real estate market?  Home construction rebounded in July by the greatest amount since November, rising by 15.7% to a 1.09 million annual rate.  Permits also exceeded expectations, rising by 8.1% to a 1.05 million pace thus suggesting housing should remain robust for the intermediate future.

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