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Change is the only certainty. Can I argue there will be another reinvention of basic economic assumptions? There was a change in general economic consensus thought following the Great Depression and again during the ...

The VIX or a measurement of volatility (aka risk) has plunged. However as measured by other benchmarks, conviction is very low. Volume has been anemic. The CME stated it has become increasingly easy to exaggerate the price movement of almost any security, the...

Many times I have commented about the narrowness of the markets, the breakdown of “fail safe trading strategies,” and the intense concentration of funds into a handful of names. Yesterday Goldman further quantified this view stating the...

FRB Chairman Powell stated the healthy US economy has faced some “cross currents and conflicting signals” that officials in January decided warranted taking a patient approach to future interest rate changes. He stated with inflation pressures “muted” the FOMC decision last month to ...

Equities have traded to the highest level since November on trade optimism. Equities were also encouraged from Chinese policy that would focus on growth as opposed to leverage. Oil declined after the President tweeted that crude prices were too high. Several third tier statistics are...

Fortune Magazine commented in late January “Bond yields [are] historically low and inflation seemed negligible: Wages [are] going nowhere, companies dare not raise prices to avoid losing market share. Bond market vigilantes have been pounded into submission.” ...

There was little initial reaction to the Minutes of the December FOMC meeting.  Perhaps of significance was the Committee’s fear that the central bank might be forced to quicken the pace of interest rate increases to head off higher inflation....

Bloomberg reports bonds backed by loans to Spanish small businesses became the first asset-back securities to stop making interest payments last week after the benchmark rates turned negative....