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Twenty five years ago one of the top tier data points was the Leading Index of Economic Indicators (LEI). It was a hard and fast rule that three consecutive declines in the LEI all but assured a recession will occur in the next ...

The German government auctioned 30 year bonds with a coupon of 0.00% at negative yield of 11 basis points. Germany had planned on offering $2 billion in bonds but only $914 million were bought thus the Bundesbank said the auction ...

Relatively speaking the markets were quiet. In some regards it felt as a typical August trading day, the inverse of the last three weeks. Some are suggesting volatility could greatly increase if Friday’s remarks from FRB Chair Powell are less dovish than ...

The markets (and narrative) are absolutely convinced that the current de globalization will produce a recession. The markets (and narrative) are also convinced that the US will follow the global economies, the inverse of ...