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FRB Chair Powell testifies to Congress today about the state of the economy. The market has fully discounted a 0.25% reduction at the conclusion of the July FOMC meeting. I rhetorically ask will ...

The main focus for the markets this week looks to be Fed Chair Powell’s remarks before Congress. His remarks can greatly influence the markets. As widely noted and discounted, the markets are expecting at least a 0.25% reduction in the ...

Stocks advanced globally after the US and China reached a fresh truce in the trade war and agreed to resume talks towards a deal.. Gold and Treasuries retreated and oil is ...

As noted many times the markets are suggesting the overnight rate will be lowered 0.75% by year end, a very aggressive 33% reduction. Some were expecting a 0.50% drop at the July meeting only to have their hopes dashed yesterday when one of the...

Yesterday a veteran market professional commented “experience and common sense seem to be useless commodities in the world today.” I cannot agree more with this statement especially regarding the amount of negative interest rate debt outstanding…$12.5 trillion. The amount of negative real interest rate debt...

Last week I wrote it is human nature to extrapolate the current into infinity. What we think we can foresee is often nothing more than what we have recently seen. “More of the same” is the sensible default prediction in politics, baseball and...

Will this week be of great significance? As widely known the Fed is holding its June meeting. The prevailing market narrative is the economy is edging towards a considerable slowdown and the market is suggesting ...