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Yesterday a veteran market professional commented “experience and common sense seem to be useless commodities in the world today.” I cannot agree more with this statement especially regarding the amount of negative interest rate debt outstanding…$12.5 trillion. The amount of negative real interest rate debt...

Last week I wrote it is human nature to extrapolate the current into infinity. What we think we can foresee is often nothing more than what we have recently seen. “More of the same” is the sensible default prediction in politics, baseball and...

Will this week be of great significance? As widely known the Fed is holding its June meeting. The prevailing market narrative is the economy is edging towards a considerable slowdown and the market is suggesting ...

As widely known, the Dow is down for six consecutive weeks. Will this week be the seventh? Bespoke Investment Group states that since 1900 there have only been seven 7-week losing streaks and just one ...

Perhaps I should have titled today’s remarks that the markets have never really deviated from normalcy. I have written many times that I believe interest rates are the largest component of valuation (and technology based trading) formulas. Markets today are only reacting in greater fortitude...

Several times I have opined the greatest risk to the markets is greater growth than anticipated that challenges monetary policy expectations. As widely accepted a major reason for the December rout was growth and the December 21 FOMC statement that Treasury sales were ...

Equities rose on light volume as all focused upon the Fed’s surprise decision. I will continue to argue that unless external risks rise, the central bank will be forced to change its stance in the immediate future. I ask what happens if China’s economy turns...