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Consensus is expecting the FOMC to lower the overnight rate by 0.25%. Is such necessary? Recent data is suggesting one of growing strength not weakness. As noted Guggenheim stated yesterday that it thinks the Fed should raise rates to ...

Friday the all-inclusive June unemployment data is released. The data could be of considerable significance regarding the outlook for monetary policy. As written many times the markets have discounted a 0.75% in the overnight rate by year end with ...

As noted many times the markets are suggesting the overnight rate will be lowered 0.75% by year end, a very aggressive 33% reduction. Some were expecting a 0.50% drop at the July meeting only to have their hopes dashed yesterday when one of the...

Is the narrative about to change about the strength of the economy and inflationary pressures?  June’s core CPI rose by 0.2% for the third consecutive month, a rise from increased shelter costs.  The core CPI is now up 2.3% from June 2015, matching the largest...