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The October Employment report is released at 8:30. Analysts are expecting a 450,000 and 420,000 increase in non-farm and private sector payrolls, respectively, a ...

05 November, 2021

FRB Chair’s much anticipated speech was not a watershed event. Powell essentially reiterated the messaging from the last FOMC statement and Minutes. If things evolve as expected, the Fed could start to ...

30 August, 2021

July’s employment data exceeded all estimates. More importantly the previous month’s data was revised higher thus suggesting considerable underlying strength. ...

09 August, 2021

FRB Chair Powell is adamant inflation is “transitory,” that current generational high prints for the inflation statistics are “one and done.” It appears the only group that believes this perspective is the Fed itself and ...

15 July, 2021

Wow! A broad measure of input pricing—Markit PMIs--rose to an all time high. Typically, such is associated with either rising consumer prices or falling margins or ...

22 February, 2021

It is often written the markets are a microcosm of the myopicy of current perspectives. The issue at hand is to recognize the next myopic dominating view. ...

10 December, 2019

In my view the August labor report indicated more strength than weakness. Commenting about the perceived weakness, private sector and non farm payroll growth did nominally disappoint, posting a 130k and 96k increase, the gains were still considerably higher than the 100,000 new jobs...

09 September, 2019