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PLACING NVDA’S CAPITILIZATION INTO PERSPECTIVE

NVDA has a $4.4 trillion market capitalization and is about 8.2% of the S & P 500.  These amounts are unprecedented on both the absolute and percentage basis. Some have stated that NVDA is the most important stock in the world given its potential outsized influence that a surprise can have upon the global indices. 

Late yesterday, the options market has priced in a 6% move in either direction after the release of its earnings.

NVDA has added about $2 trillion in market value since April, an amount that is almost equivalent to the entire capitalization of the London stock market. Writing it differently NVDA has increased in value since April by almost the entire value of AMZN, the sixth largest company in the S & P 500.  There are only six companies worth more than $2 trillion in this key benchmark.

Wow!

After the close NVDA posted results that exceeded expectations but not by the degree the market had discounted.   Depending upon the moment, shares are down anywhere between 3% and 4%. Or about $200 million dollars, a decline in value that is worth more than Texas Insturment, Uber, or PepsiCo or about 450 members of the S & P 500.

Commenting about the Treasury market, the two-year Treasury continued to rally on hopes of a more accommodative Fed.  The 30-year Treasury ended nominally higher in yield however its yield is still around the levels of the beginning of the year.

The considerable steepening in the yield curve during the year is almost entirely the result of a declining yields for the two-year Treasury, the instrument that is most sensitive to potential changes in monetary policy.

Last night the foreign markets were down.  London was down 0.46%, Paris down 0.05% and Frankfurt down 0.25%.  China was up 1.14%, Japan up 0.73% and Hang Seng down 0.81%.

Futures are “soft.”  The 10-year is up 1/32 to yield 4.25%.

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Kent Engelke

Chief Economic Strategist Managing Director

The views expressed herein are those of Kent Engelke and do not necessarily reflect those of Capitol Securities Management. Any opinions expressed are statements of judgment on this date and are subject to certain risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from those currently anticipated or projected. Any future dividends, interest, yields and event dates listed may be subject to change. An investor cannot invest in an index, and its returns are not indicative of the performance of any specific investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is being provided for informational purposes only. Any information should not be deemed a recommendation to buy, hold or sell any security. Certain information has been obtained from third-party sources we consider reliable, but we do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete. This report is not a complete description of the securities, markets, or developments referred to in this material and does not include all available data necessary for making an investment decision. Prior to making an investment decision, please consult with your financial advisor about your individual situation. Investing involves risk and you may incur a profit or loss regardless of strategy selected. There is no guarantee that the statements, opinions or forecasts provided herein will prove to be correct. If you would like to unsubscribe from this e-mail distribution, please reply to this e-mail and indicate that you wish to unsubscribe in your response.