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WILL TODAY BE A DAY OF SIGNIFICANCE?

Will today be one of significance.  The FOMC meeting concludes, and the post meeting statement is made at 2:00 PM.  There is little fanfare expected from the forecasted outcome, but every FOMC meeting is of significance given their potential influence over the financial markets. After the close three of largest companies in the world post … Read more

A DAY FOR THE RECORD BOOKS

It was an ugly day yesterday for the chipmakers.  NVDA plunged over 17% on the news that a Chinese company may be an AI chip competitor.  NVDA declined almost $600 billion in capitalization, a decline that is more than the total value of GM and XOM combined.  It was the largest drop in value for … Read more

A BUSY WEEK

Will this be a week of significance?  The preconceived narrative is that technology has improved growth and productivity.  Real GDP has averaged about 2% per year in the past 20 years, about half of its growth rate from 1950-1973 according to First Trust.   It’s hard to quantify government success because they don’t have profit motives. … Read more

A MIXED DAY…HIGHEST TIPs AUCTION YIELD IN ALMOST A GENERATION

Markets were mixed as President Trump urged in a virtual speech to Davos for OPEC to lower crude prices and said he will push for interest rates cuts.  Trump also reiterated his threat to use tariffs to bring manufacturing back to the US. Every President has advocated for  lower oil prices and interest rates however … Read more

A NARROW-BASED ADVANCE

Mega cap technologies led equities higher yesterday, the result of NFLX’s profit report.  Next Wednesday January 29 three of the Magnificent Seven releases earnings; MSFT, TSLA and META.  Was yesterday’s NFLX results a one-off event or the start of something better? The inverse of previous days, most of the companies in the S & P … Read more

ARE THE BOND MARKET VIGLANTES ON THE VERGE OF RETURNING?

Markets were mixed yesterday until the President Trump announced a new investment push into AI..  The NASDAQ rose about 0.5%, the Dow gained about 1.0% and the Treasury yields nominally declined. Many have commented the geopolitical and macroeconomic issues are the most daunting today than in at least two generations.  Perhaps the biggest risk is … Read more

AND NOW THE HARD PART

The inauguration was yesterday.  Sentiment is high that the Trump Administration will be transformative.  Now comes the hard part…living up to expectations. As with every Administration, there will be successes and failures.  Some policies will be adopted, others not. Some suggest the only comment to make is that bureaucracies have become too powerful; unelected officials … Read more

IS A CHANGE IN THE NARRATIVE AT HAND?

Equites struggled to find direction even as bond yields dopped and dovish remarks from Fed Governor Christopher Waller. The inverse of many trading sessions of the prior years, the averages languished even as the typical company rose as a slide in the tech mega caps negatively impacted the benchmarks.  Solid earnings from a pair mega … Read more

CPI RELEASED AT 8:30

December’s Producer Prices unexpectedly cooled in December, helped by a drop in food costs and flat service prices. The PPI rose 0.2% from a month earlier.  The median estimate called for a 0.4% gain.  A measure excluding food and energy was unchanged from November versus expectations of a 0.3% increase. Compared with a year earlier, … Read more