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I do not think it is an understatement to write the next two months might be one of the most contentious Presidential election season in decades. Drama will be great as COVID is the ...

Today marks the conclusion of the two-day FOMC meeting. No change in monetary policy is expected and most believe the Fed will continue with its dovish outlook....

An argument can be made the world’s sovereign debt markets just got a lot riskier as Sweden just ended a half of decade of negative rates. The question at hand will other central banks follow their lead? Everything in the world is priced...

It is often written the markets are a microcosm of the myopicy of current perspectives. The issue at hand is to recognize the next myopic dominating view. ...

Consensus is expecting the FOMC to lower the overnight rate by 0.25%. Is such necessary? Recent data is suggesting one of growing strength not weakness. As noted Guggenheim stated yesterday that it thinks the Fed should raise rates to ...

As noted many times the markets are suggesting the overnight rate will be lowered 0.75% by year end, a very aggressive 33% reduction. Some were expecting a 0.50% drop at the July meeting only to have their hopes dashed yesterday when one of the...